Prediction of EPB tunnelling performance for various grounds in Korea using discrete event simulation

This study investigates Tunnel Boring Machine (TBM) performance prediction by employing discrete event simulation technique, which is a potential remedy highlighting its stochastic adaptability to the complex nature of TBM tunnelling activities. The new discrete event simulation model using AnyLogic software was developed and validated by comparing its results with actual performance data for Daegok–Sosa railway project that Earth Pressure Balance (EPB) TBM machine was used in Korea. The results showed the successful implementation of predicting TBM performance. However, it necessitates high-quality database establishment including geological formations, machine specifications, and operation settings. Additionally, this paper introduces a novel methodology for daily performance updates during construction, using automated data processing techniques. This approach enables daily updates and predictions for the ongoing projects, offering valuable insights for construction management. Overall, this study underlines the potential of discrete event simulation in predicting TBM performance, its applicability to other tunneling projects, and the importance of continual database expansion for future model enhancements.