Geomechanics and Engineering

Volume 20, Number 2, 2020, pages 113-120

DOI: 10.12989/gae.2020.20.2.113

Experimental investigation on multi-parameter classification predicting degradation model for rock failure using Bayesian method

Chunlai Wang , Changfeng Li , Zeng Chen , Zefeng Liao , Guangming Zhao , Feng Shi , Weijian Yu

Abstract

Rock damage is the main cause of accidents in underground engineering. It is difficult to predict rock damage accurately by using only one parameter. In this study, a rock failure prediction model was established by using stress, energy, and damage. The prediction level was divided into three levels according to the ratio of the damage threshold stress to the peak stress. A classification predicting model was established, including the stress, energy, damage and AE impact rate using Bayesian method. Results show that the model is good practicability and effectiveness in predicting the degree of rock failure. On the basis of this, a multi-parameter classification predicting deterioration model of rock failure was established. The results provide a new idea for classifying and predicting rockburst.

Key Words

rock failure; multi-parameter; acoustic emission; Bayesian; classified predicting

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