Advances in Concrete Construction

Volume 21, Number 5, 2026, pages 531-544

DOI: 10.12989/acc.2026.21.5.531

Dynamic tracing results: a comparison between maximum likelihood and Bayesian techniques

Khaled Mohamed Khedher , Rizwan Munir , Muzamal Hussain , Rana Muhammad Akram Muntazir , Lahcen Azrar

Abstract

In present study, Pareto distribution is used to find the estimation of different sample size. The maximum likelihood method and Bayesian method are compared for best estimation. R Language is used for Bayesian method and maximum likelihood method that are presented in tabular form. The traceable results are presented that are extracted with the WinBUGS software. The estimated value decrease as the sample size increased. The gamma and lambda for the Bayesian method is the best estimation rather than the maximum likelihood method. The maximum likelihood method is less estimate as compared to the Bayesian method for closeness of the estimate. It is detected that the Bayesian method is the best one as it has the least standard error with few exceptions. The part of the data analyzed here comprises the total damage by 142 fires in Norway for the year 1975, for claims above 500,000 Norwegian Krones. The loses are recorded in 1000’s of Norwegian Krones.

Key Words

computations; dynamic trace; Pareto distribution; R Language; simulation

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